Critical Analysis of the Terrorist Attack on Moscow’s Crocus City Hall

Dede Farhan Aulawi (Intelligence Observer) | Photo: Doc. sukabumiNews

The Shocking Terrorist Attack at Crocus City Hall

Reports by various media regarding the terrorist attack at Crocus City Hall against the audience of a music concert located on the outskirts of Krasnogorsk, Moscow on Friday (23/3) left many people shocked, furious and angry.

Behavior that tramples on common sense of humanity with this terror attack has claimed the lives of more than 130 innocent people. The peace-loving Indonesian people and government will certainly strongly condemn this barbaric event.

The problem is who is the brain behind the incident. Because the actors in the field have indeed been caught, but who created the terror design is a challenge that must be revealed.

Events like this are definitely not designed in a few days, there must be long planning to arrange the various scenarios. Starting from determining the event, place, time, people, weapons, financing, transportation, accommodation, division of roles/tasks, escape route, and construction of the message that will be built on the event.

Including the discovery of a Kalashnikov assault rifle lying on the floor which could actually be read as a ‘cipher message’ to be deciphered.

From one side, law enforcement efforts will definitely require legal facts as evidence that can be presented at trial. That is why there is a scientific discipline called Scientific Crime Investigation or scientific crime investigation.

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However, in every intelligence operation, this proof becomes very difficult because of the maturity of the planning that is made. Including the possibility of ‘brainwashing’ for field actors, as well as the disconnected cell system being implemented, so the field operator certainly doesn’t know who ordered or paid for it. Even though it can actually be traced from the flow of funds (financial tracing) according to the confession of the person who was caught.

The four defendants in the attack, namely Dalerdzhon Mirzoyev, Saidakrami Muodali Rachabalizoda, Shamsidin Fariduni, and Muhammadsobir Fayzov were arrested several hours after the attack and burning of the concert venue.

Then 7 further people have also been arrested who are suspected of being involved or related to this incident. This number will probably continue to increase in line with efforts to develop investigations and interrogations. Whoever is the ‘mastermind’ of this incident will definitely be anxious because he is worried that his identity will be revealed, so there will definitely be efforts to eliminate him as the only way to eliminate traces.

Therefore, security for defendants and suspects must be extra tight to avoid the possibility of an assassination attempt.

In cases like this, the Russian police or troops can actually take two strategic approaches;

First, massive interrogation with mental stressing efforts so that they will provide important information about the incident.

Second, with a soft approach, starting from Document Analysis, Interface Analysis, In depth Interviews, Specific Observation, or Prototyping.

The approach can use functional and non-functional, both collaborative, special research and ongoing experiments. The interesting thing is that after this incident occurred, it has actually entered stage two, namely guiding public opinion as to who should be responsible.

This technique is carried out as an effort to distance the world’s prejudices and suspicions, a dishwashing technique, aka hands-off, broken links, and the final point of imagining events. This method is commonly used in various world terror incidents involving state actors or ‘important people’.

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